Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

The Colorado Rockies handed the Washington Nationals a 3-1 defeat at Nationals Park on August 20, 2024, completing a game the DiamondIQ model had opened with Washington holding a 61% pre-game win probability. The Rockies broke the scoreless tie in the sixth inning and never surrendered the lead, with Colorado scoring twice in the top half and Washington answering with a single run in the bottom half before Colorado closed out the remaining frames without incident.

The sixth inning was the decisive stretch of the game. Jordan Beck reached on a field error charged to Eduardo Salazar that swung Colorado's win probability by 12.4 percentage points, the single largest play of the game. Nolan Jones followed with a single off DJ Herz worth 10.6 percentage points, extending the Rockies' threat. Washington responded in the bottom half when CJ Abrams connected on a home run off Austin Gomber, a swing worth 11.2 percentage points in the Nationals' favor, but it was not enough to change the game's trajectory. In the bottom of the ninth, José Tena's groundout off Angel Chivilli, converting a two-out situation to end the game, registered an 11.1 percentage point swing as the final meaningful play of the night.

Austin Gomber was the standout performer on the mound, finishing with a 39.2% WPA contribution despite allowing the Abrams home run, an indication of how effectively he managed Washington's lineup throughout his outing. Tyler Kinley added 13.3% WPA in relief, navigating the eighth despite Alex Call's double off him worth 8.8 percentage points to Washington. Offensively, Beck led Colorado's batters at plus-12.0% WPA, while Jones contributed 11.8%, the pair accounting for the critical sixth-inning damage that ultimately decided the outcome.