Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 1 |
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
The Story
The Baltimore Orioles defeated the New York Mets 9-5 at Citi Field on August 20, 2024, building an early lead and withstanding a late Mets rally to complete a road victory. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with New York holding a 47 percent win probability, but by the final out that figure had fallen to zero, reflecting how decisively Baltimore controlled the contest.
The Orioles did their most important offensive damage in the fourth inning, when James McCann's home run off Jose Quintana generated a swing of plus 11.4 percent in win probability, and Ramón Urías followed with a single that added another plus 7.3 percent, compounding the damage in what became a three-run frame. Baltimore had already pushed across two runs in the first and one in the second, so the fourth-inning outburst effectively put the game out of reach before New York could find its footing. The Mets managed their most meaningful moment in the third inning, when Mark Vientos doubled off Dean Kremer for a plus 8.5 percent swing, and their most significant threat came in the eighth when J.D. Martinez hit a grand slam off Burch Smith, a plus 13.6 percent swing that trimmed the deficit and represented the largest single-play probability shift of the game.
Dean Kremer was the standout performer overall, finishing with a plus 17.0 percent WPA that led all players on either side, anchoring a Baltimore pitching effort that kept the Mets largely in check through the middle innings. Yennier Cano contributed an additional plus 8.8 percent WPA in relief. Among hitters, McCann led Baltimore with a plus 12.2 percent WPA and plus 1.5 RE24, while Martinez paced the Mets with plus 10.0 percent WPA and plus 1.7 RE24 despite his team falling short. Vientos also contributed a plus 7.4 percent WPA for New York. Baltimore's 11 hits against 5 for the Mets told much of the story, as the Orioles generated consistent offense across nearly every inning they scored while New York's attack came too late and in too isolated a fashion to change the outcome.