MLB Recap · August 20, 2024

Los Angeles Angels at Kansas City Royals: Final Score & Recap

LAA9
Final
KC5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA0002032029111
KC0002003005112

The Story

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Kansas City Royals 9-5 on August 20, 2024, at Kauffman Stadium, overcoming a pregame environment that the DiamondIQ model's estimate had heavily favoring Kansas City at a 66 percent home win probability. The Angels methodically chipped away before breaking the game open in the sixth inning, when Zach Neto's home run off Cole Ragans added 13.7 percent to Los Angeles's win probability and shifted the tenor of the contest. Logan O'Hoppe followed later in the inning with a single off James McArthur that added another 11.0 percent, a sequence that gave the Angels a lead they would not relinquish despite Kansas City's persistent resistance.

The Royals answered with a pair of significant swings in the middle innings, as Freddy Fermin's double off Tyler Anderson in the bottom of the sixth added 10.7 percent for Kansas City, and Bobby Witt Jr. followed in the bottom of the seventh with a double off Anderson that registered the game's single largest individual play at plus 16.8 percent, with Vinnie Pasquantino adding a 10.0 percent single in the same frame. Despite those surges, the Angels closed out the game by scoring twice in the ninth, and the bullpen held firm. Hunter Strickland led all pitchers with plus 15.8 percent WPA, followed by José Quijada at plus 13.3 percent.

Among position players, Witt Jr. finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 23.3 percent alongside a plus 2.1 RE24, though his efforts ultimately came in a losing cause. Anthony Rendon was the standout performer on the winning side, posting plus 17.2 percent WPA and a game-high plus 2.6 RE24, while Neto contributed plus 14.4 percent WPA for Los Angeles. The Angels finished with 11 hits and committed one error, while Kansas City also recorded 11 hits but was undone by two errors and an inability to sustain its late-inning momentum against a deep Angels bullpen.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalKC win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 66.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Bobby Witt Jr. Double
Bot 7th · off Tyler Anderson
+16.8%
Zach Neto Home Run
Top 6th · off Cole Ragans
+13.7%
Logan O'Hoppe Single
Top 6th · off James McArthur
+11.0%
Freddy Fermin Double
Bot 6th · off Tyler Anderson
+10.7%
Bot 7th · off Tyler Anderson
+10.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Bobby Witt Jr.+23.3%+2.1 RE24
Anthony Rendon+17.2%+2.6 RE24
Zach Neto+14.4%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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