New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

The Detroit Tigers walked off the New York Yankees 3-2 in ten innings on August 18, 2024, at Journey Bank Ballpark, completing a comeback that began in the ninth and finished in the tenth. Detroit entered the night as a slight underdog, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate placing the home team's win probability at just 44 percent before first pitch. Nine scoreless innings gave way to a frantic finish, and by the time the dust settled the model had moved to 100 percent in Detroit's favor.

The decisive sequence unfolded across the final two innings. In the bottom of the ninth, Jace Jung delivered a single off Clay Holmes that swung win probability 41.8 percent toward Detroit, pulling the Tigers level and setting the stage for extra innings. The Yankees responded in the top of the tenth when DJ LeMahieu singled off Beau Brieske, a hit worth a 36.5 percent swing, and a Gleyber Torres strikeout in the same frame swung the advantage back to Detroit's side by 23.1 percent. Then in the bottom of the tenth, Zach McKinstry ended it with a walk-off single off Mark Leiter Jr. that carried the largest single-play impact of the game at plus 51.6 percent, with Parker Meadows contributing a key single in the same frame worth another 28.4 percent.

McKinstry led all batters with a WPA of plus 51.6 percent and an RE24 of plus 1.4, while Jung finished at plus 41.3 percent WPA and plus 0.8 RE24. LeMahieu was the standout for New York at plus 33.6 percent WPA and plus 1.1 RE24 despite being on the losing side. On the mound, Marcus Stroman paced all pitchers with a WPA of plus 27.0 percent, followed by Tommy Kahnle at plus 23.3 percent and Tarik Skubal at plus 17.4 percent, though their collective efforts were ultimately undone by the late-inning collapse in relief.