Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| HOU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 5 | 0 |
The Story
The Houston Astros defeated the Chicago White Sox 2-0 on August 18, 2024, at Minute Maid Park, converting an 82 percent pre-game home win probability into a certainty by the final out. The game was a tightly contained affair through five innings before Houston broke through with the only two runs it would need, delivered in solo fashion at precisely the moments that mattered most.
The decisive blow came in the bottom of the sixth, when Yainer Diaz connected for a home run off Ky Bush, a swing that shifted win probability by plus 13.8 percent according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate and gave Houston its first lead of the night. Jose Altuve then extended the margin in the bottom of the eighth with another solo home run, this one off John Brebbia, adding a further 12.0 percent swing in Houston's favor. White Sox opportunities were limited and largely self-inflicted, as a Jake Meyers double play in the first inning cost Chicago 10.1 percent in win probability, and Korey Lee grounded into a double play in the seventh off Framber Valdez at a cost of 9.2 percent, each sequence effectively draining whatever slim margin the White Sox carried.
Altuve led all batters with a plus 13.0 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.4, while Diaz contributed plus 11.7 percent WPA on his home run. On the pitching side, Ky Bush was the most valuable arm despite surrendering the Diaz home run, finishing with plus 29.3 percent WPA overall, with Framber Valdez adding plus 22.0 percent and Bryan Abreu contributing plus 10.8 percent as Houston held Chicago to three hits and committed no errors in a clean two-run victory.