MLB Recap · August 18, 2024

Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers: Final Score & Recap

MIN5
Final
TEX6

Line Score

Team12345678910RHE
MIN3010000010571
TEX00000050016120

The Story

The Texas Rangers walked off the Minnesota Twins 6-5 in ten innings on August 18, 2024, at Globe Life Field, completing a dramatic comeback that swung the DiamondIQ model's home win probability from 43% before first pitch all the way to 100% at the final out. Minnesota had built a commanding 4-0 lead through the first three innings, scoring three in the first and one in the third, and held that advantage deep into the game before Texas unraveled it in a single inning.

The decisive sequence began in the bottom of the seventh, when the Rangers erased the deficit with five runs against Jorge Alcala. Josh Jung started the damage with a home run worth 18.0% in win probability added, and Adolis García followed with a home run of his own that added 33.7% — the single most impactful swing of the regulation innings. García finished the night as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 49.4%, with a RE24 of plus 1.6. The Twins answered in the top of the ninth when Carlos Santana launched a home run off Kirby Yates to tie the game, a swing worth 34.2% in win probability that kept Minnesota alive. In the top of the tenth, Jose Miranda's fielder's choice out with runners on base cost the Twins 23.5% in win probability and left the door open for Texas. Jung then delivered the walk-off single off Jhoan Duran in the bottom of the tenth, a hit worth 41.4% — the largest single-play swing of the entire game — ending the night with Jung at plus 45.7% WPA. On the pitching side, Pablo López led all pitchers with plus 31.5% WPA for Minnesota despite the loss, while David Robertson contributed plus 10.8% for Texas in relief.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIN bats firstFinalTEX win %MIN win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 43.2% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Josh Jung Single
Bot 10th · off Jhoan Duran
+41.4%
Carlos Santana Home Run
Top 9th · off Kirby Yates
+34.2%
Adolis García Home Run
Bot 7th · off Jorge Alcala
+33.7%
Jose F Miranda Fielders Choice Out
Top 10th · off Andrew Chafin
-23.5%
Josh Jung Home Run
Bot 7th · off Jorge Alcala
+18.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Adolis García+49.4%+1.6 RE24
Josh Jung+45.7%+1.0 RE24
Carlos Santana+38.8%+1.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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