New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

The Detroit Tigers handed the New York Yankees a 4-0 shutout at Comerica Park on August 17, 2024, with all four runs coming in the second inning and the game never in doubt from that point forward. The DiamondIQ model entered the contest giving Detroit a 43% win probability, but by the time the second inning concluded, that figure had climbed toward certainty, ultimately closing at 100% in favor of the Tigers.

The decisive sequence came entirely in the bottom of the second against Yankees starter Carlos Rodón. Spencer Torkelson opened the damage with a double, and Zach McKinstry followed with a run-scoring single, a hit that shifted win probability 6.3 points in Detroit's favor. Andy Ibáñez then delivered a double that swung the needle another 9.4 points toward the Tigers. The inning's single largest win-probability swing, however, came on a strikeout: Justyn-Henry Malloy's punch-out added 10.2 percentage points to Detroit's outlook, a reflection of how loaded the base-out situation had become and how much pressure Rodón was navigating at that moment. On the New York side, Ben Rice's flyout to end the top of the second represented the Yankees' most consequential missed opportunity, costing them 7.9 points of win probability against Keider Montero.

Montero was the game's most impactful individual performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, finishing with a WPA of plus-17.9%, as he and relievers Tyler Holton and Jake Cousins combined to hold New York to four hits across nine innings. Among Detroit's hitters, Malloy led with a cumulative WPA of plus-10.3%, followed by Ibáñez at plus-8.7% and McKinstry at plus-6.4%, the trio accounting for the bulk of the offensive production that made the Tigers' second-inning outburst as decisive as it ultimately proved to be.