MLB Recap · August 16, 2024

New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

NYY3
Final
DET0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
NYY100010010351
DET000000000051

The Story

The New York Yankees blanked the Detroit Tigers 3-0 at Comerica Park on August 16, 2024, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate framed as an increasingly one-sided affair after opening with Detroit holding a 43% pre-game win probability that ultimately collapsed to zero. Gerrit Cole was the engine of the outcome, finishing as the game's highest-impact performer with a cumulative +32.1% win probability added. His most consequential moments came through suppression rather than spectacle: a fifth-inning strikeout of Justyn-Henry Malloy (-6.5% WP for Detroit) and a sixth-inning strikeout of Jace Jung (-9.2% WP) extinguished whatever hope the Tigers were quietly building against a New York offense that had yet to fully assert itself.

The offensive turning points came on solo home runs that pushed the Yankees out to a margin Detroit could never answer. Oswald Peraza delivered the game's single most impactful offensive play in the top of the fifth, connecting off Brant Hurter for a home run that shifted win probability by +11.8%. Aaron Judge added another solo shot off Hurter in the top of the eighth for a +10.5% swing, and the Yankees also plated a run in the first inning to account for all three of their scores. Peraza led all batters with a +7.4% WPA and +0.3 RE24, while Judge posted +5.9% WPA and Jose Trevino contributed +5.7% WPA with the game's best RE24 among position players at +0.8. Luke Weaver and Brenan Hanifee provided late bullpen support, adding +8.8% and +7.6% WPA respectively to close out a clean, efficient shutout on the road.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025NYY bats firstFinalDET win %NYY win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 42.6% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Oswald Peraza Home Run
Top 5th · off Brant Hurter
+11.8%
Aaron Judge Home Run
Top 8th · off Brant Hurter
+10.5%
Jace Jung Strikeout
Bot 6th · off Gerrit Cole
-9.2%
Justyn-Henry Malloy Strikeout
Bot 4th · off Gerrit Cole
-6.5%
Zach McKinstry Lineout
Bot 9th · off Clay Holmes
+6.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Oswald Peraza+7.4%+0.3 RE24
Aaron Judge+5.9%-0.0 RE24
Jose Trevino+5.7%+0.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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