MLB Recap · August 15, 2024

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

WSH3
Final
PHI13

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
WSH000011100383
PHI40050022-13171

The Story

The Philadelphia Phillies routed the Washington Nationals 13-3 at Citizens Bank Park on August 15, 2024, a result the DiamondIQ model saw coming from the start, with Philadelphia entering as a 67% home favorite and the model's estimate finishing at 100% by game's end. The Phillies wasted no time establishing control, scoring four runs in the first inning and adding five more in the fourth to effectively end any competitive tension early. Washington committed three errors against Philadelphia's one, compounding the damage across a 17-hit Phillies attack that left the Nationals with little margin for recovery.

The game's decisive moments were anchored by Alec Bohm, whose first-inning home run off Mitchell Parker swung win probability 5.6 points in Philadelphia's favor and set the tone for the afternoon. Bohm finished as the top performer by WPA, contributing a combined plus-9.6% WP and a RE24 of plus-2.7, with his second at-bat producing a lineout worth another 4.0 points. Johan Rojas added plus-4.9% WP largely through a strikeout that preserved Phillies momentum in the first, while Weston Wilson's triple off Parker in the fourth, worth plus-3.4% WP, extended the damage in that pivotal five-run frame. On the Washington side, Alex Call's groundout against Zack Wheeler in the second inning was the single costliest play for the Nationals, dropping their win probability by 6.2 points and underscoring how thoroughly Wheeler shut down any potential comeback.

Zack Wheeler was the standout performer on the mound, posting a plus-10.9% WPA to lead all pitchers and holding Washington in check while the Philadelphia offense did its work. Mitchell Parker absorbed the bulk of the punishment for the Nationals, surrendering the home run to Bohm and the triple to Wilson among a series of damaging at-bats. Max Lazar and Orlando Ribalta each finished at exactly 0.0% WPA in their relief appearances. The 10-run final margin, supported by Washington's three errors, reflected a clean and thorough Philadelphia performance from first pitch to last.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025WSH bats firstFinalPHI win %WSH win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 67% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Alex Call Groundout
Top 2nd · off Zack Wheeler
-6.2%
Alec Bohm Home Run
Bot 1st · off Mitchell Parker
+5.6%
Alec Bohm Lineout
Bot 2nd · off Mitchell Parker
+4.0%
Johan Rojas Strikeout
Bot 1st · off Mitchell Parker
+3.9%
Weston Wilson Triple
Bot 4th · off Mitchell Parker
+3.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Alec Bohm+9.6%+2.7 RE24
Johan Rojas+4.9%+0.2 RE24
Weston Wilson+3.1%+2.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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