Oakland Athletics at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

The Oakland Athletics rallied from an early deficit to defeat the New York Mets 7-6 at Citi Field on August 15, 2024, completing a comeback that left the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Mets win fall from a pre-game 62 percent all the way to zero percent by the final out. New York had built a lead through the third inning, capped by a Mark Vientos home run off Mitch Spence that swung win probability 14.1 percent in the Mets' favor. Oakland answered emphatically in the fourth, with JJ Bleday delivering a home run off Jose Quintana that represented the single biggest play of the game at plus 24.3 percent win probability, turning the contest in the Athletics' direction in one swing. The A's added two more runs in the sixth, keyed by a Shea Langeliers double off Reed Garrett that pushed win probability another 14.1 percent toward Oakland, ultimately building the margin that proved decisive.

New York mounted a threat in the late innings but could not convert. Mark Vientos, who had been responsible for the Mets' biggest offensive moment, struck out against Mason Miller in the eighth in a swing worth negative 12.9 percent win probability for New York, a critical missed opportunity. Francisco Alvarez lined out against Miller in the ninth, a play the model registered at plus 18.8 percent for the batting team given the leverage of the moment, but the rally fell short and Oakland closed it out.

Bleday finished as the game's most impactful offensive player at plus 29.1 percent WPA and plus 3.5 RE24, while Langeliers added plus 17.4 percent WPA and Tyrone Taylor contributed plus 15.7 percent WPA in support. On the pitching side, Tyler Ferguson led Oakland's relievers at plus 12.9 percent WPA, with Scott Alexander and Ryne Stanek each adding meaningful contributions as the Athletics' bullpen secured the one-run victory.