MLB Recap · August 14, 2024

Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

TOR9
Final
LAA2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TOR021031002981
LAA000010001230

The Story

The Toronto Blue Jays rolled through Angel Stadium on August 14, 2024, defeating the Los Angeles Angels 9-2 behind a methodical offensive performance that left little doubt by the middle innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Angels a 49 percent home win probability, but that figure eroded steadily as Toronto built its lead, ultimately reaching zero percent by the final out. The Blue Jays scattered their nine runs across five different innings, collecting eight hits against an Angels staff that could not contain the damage.

The decisive moments came courtesy of Toronto's most impactful swings against starter Tyler Anderson. In the second inning, Ernie Clement deposited a home run off Anderson for an 8.5 percent win-probability swing in Toronto's favor, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. followed in the third with a single that added another 8.0 percent. The most damaging blow arrived in the fifth, when Daulton Varsho hit a home run off Anderson for a 12.4 percent swing, effectively sealing the outcome. On the other side, the Angels' most consequential misses came in the bottom half of that sequence, with Willie Calhoun grounding into a double play off José Berríos in the fourth for a negative 8.5 percent shift, and Matt Thaiss flying out in the second for a negative 7.3 percent swing that extinguished Los Angeles's best early opportunities.

Individually, Varsho led all batters with a 14.2 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 2.3, while Clement posted 9.5 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 2.2. Guerrero Jr. contributed the highest run-environment impact among Toronto hitters at plus 2.7 RE24 alongside a 7.2 percent WPA. José Berríos was the standout performer of the evening by any measure, accumulating a 20.5 percent WPA from the mound as he neutralized the Angels' lineup and kept the Toronto bullpen largely at rest.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025TOR bats firstFinalLAA win %TOR win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 49.4% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Daulton Varsho Home Run
Top 5th · off Tyler Anderson
+12.4%
Willie Calhoun Grounded Into DP
Bot 4th · off José Berríos
-8.5%
Ernie Clement Home Run
Top 2nd · off Tyler Anderson
+8.5%
Top 3rd · off Tyler Anderson
+8.0%
Matt Thaiss Flyout
Bot 2nd · off José Berríos
-7.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Daulton Varsho+14.2%+2.3 RE24
Ernie Clement+9.5%+2.2 RE24
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.+7.2%+2.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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