Oakland Athletics at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

The New York Mets handled the Oakland Athletics decisively on August 14, 2024 at Citi Field, winning 9-1 to push the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home victory from a pre-game 63 percent all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Oakland starter Joey Estes absorbed the bulk of the damage, surrendering the three most consequential hits of the game in the early innings. Mark Vientos opened the scoring in the second with a double that shifted win probability 9.4 percent in New York's favor, and Francisco Lindor matched that exact swing with a home run in the third. Pete Alonso added a solo shot in the fourth worth another 8.0 percent, leaving Estes responsible for three of the four largest win-probability events through the game's first half.

Oakland's lone moment of traction came in the sixth inning, when JJ Bleday reached on a fielder's choice against David Peterson, a play worth plus 7.5 percent in the Athletics' direction and ultimately accounting for the bulk of Bleday's game-high plus 11.9 percent WPA. The A's did score their only run in that frame, but the rally stalled before it could threaten seriously. Any remaining doubt was extinguished in the seventh, when Max Schuemann grounded into a double play against Huascar Brazobán, swinging win probability 7.8 percent back toward New York and snuffing out Oakland's last realistic threat.

On the pitching side, David Peterson led all arms with a plus 10.2 percent WPA contribution, while Brazobán added 7.8 percent and T.J. McFarland contributed another 3.3 percent as the Mets bullpen closed without incident. Among position players, Pete Alonso posted the strongest run-environment figure with a plus 3.2 RE24, reflecting the situational weight of his fourth-inning home run. Francisco Lindor finished at plus 1.1 RE24 alongside his plus 11.6 percent WPA, as the Mets spread their nine runs across a lineup that collected 11 hits against a six-hit Oakland offense that never found consistent footing.