MLB Recap · August 10, 2024

Texas Rangers at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

TEX0
Final
NYY8

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TEX000000000050
NYY10231001-8120

The Story

The New York Yankees rolled to an 8-0 victory over the Texas Rangers on August 10, 2024, at Yankee Stadium, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate saw coming from the outset, with a pre-game home win probability of 66% that climbed to 100% by the final out. The Yankees collected 12 hits against a Rangers club that managed just five and committed no errors but could never generate any offense against a New York staff that was dominant throughout. Carlos Rodón led the pitching effort, adding 10.9% in win probability for the Yankees, with Grant Anderson and Tim Hill contributing behind him.

The game turned decisively in the third inning, when Austin Wells delivered the night's most impactful blow, a double off Nathan Eovaldi that shifted win probability by plus-11.6%. A Jazz Chisholm Jr. single off Eovaldi in the same frame added another 4.3%, and New York took a lead it never relinquished while building a two-run cushion through three. The fourth inning extended the damage, with Aaron Judge doubling off Brock Burke for a plus-6.9% swing, and Wells following with a single that moved the needle another 4.1%. Texas's best moment in that frame came via absence rather than presence, as Josh Smith's strikeout against Rodón cost the Rangers 4.1% in win probability and effectively ended any realistic chance at a comeback.

Wells was the clear standout for New York, finishing with a combined WPA of plus-14.8% and a RE24 of plus-1.6, while Judge posted a plus-9.7% WPA and a team-best RE24 of plus-1.9. Marcus Semien contributed a plus-3.8% WPA for Texas in a losing effort, representing the Rangers' most positive individual impact on the night. The DiamondIQ model favors the Yankees' offense and starting pitching as the primary factors in a dominant wire-to-wire performance that left no meaningful leverage moments for the visiting Rangers.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025TEX bats firstFinalNYY win %TEX win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 66% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Austin Wells Double
Bot 3rd · off Nathan Eovaldi
+11.6%
Aaron Judge Double
Bot 4th · off Brock Burke
+6.9%
Bot 3rd · off Nathan Eovaldi
+4.3%
Austin Wells Single
Bot 4th · off Brock Burke
+4.1%
Josh Smith Strikeout
Top 4th · off Carlos Rodón
-4.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Austin Wells+14.8%+1.6 RE24
Aaron Judge+9.7%+1.9 RE24
Marcus Semien+3.8%-0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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