Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks routed the Philadelphia Phillies 11-1 on August 10, 2024, at Chase Field, turning what the DiamondIQ model opened as an even 50-50 contest into a outcome that finished at 100 percent probability for the home side. Arizona built a lead through the early innings with single runs in the first and second, but the game's decisive turn came in the bottom of the fifth, when Jake McCarthy launched a home run off Aaron Nola that carried a win-probability swing of plus 18.4 percent. The Phillies had briefly applied pressure in the top of that same inning, with Trea Turner's double off Zac Gallen adding plus 12.7 percent win probability for Philadelphia, but Arizona's relief corps immediately extinguished the threat. Alec Bohm struck out against Kevin Ginkel for a minus 7.3 percent swing, and Nick Castellanos lined out for another minus 6.4 percent blow, ending any realistic Philadelphia comeback hopes before the inning concluded.

The seventh inning delivered the decisive blow to the Phillies, with Arizona plating seven runs to push the final margin to ten. McCarthy finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, accumulating plus 19.2 percent total WPA and plus 2.8 RE24, while Turner was the lone bright spot for Philadelphia at plus 9.6 percent WPA despite the lopsided result. Joc Pederson contributed plus 8.5 percent WPA for Arizona as part of a 15-hit attack. On the pitching side, Kevin Ginkel was the standout reliever with plus 17.0 percent WPA, his efficient suppression of the Philadelphia fifth-inning rally proving pivotal in preventing any sustained threat. Joe Mantiply added plus 5.0 percent WPA as the Diamondbacks' bullpen locked down the contest with Arizona's offense providing a comfortable cushion.