Los Angeles Angels at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

Washington walked off Los Angeles in ten innings on Saturday night at Nationals Park, with the Nationals edging the Angels 5-4 to complete a game that the DiamondIQ model had favored from the start, pegging Washington's pre-game win probability at 56 percent and ultimately closing at 100 percent once the final out was recorded.

The decisive blow came in the bottom of the tenth when José Tena lined a walk-off single off Roansy Contreras, the biggest swing of the game at plus-35.9 percent win probability added. That moment capped a rally that began taking shape earlier: James Wood's double off Griffin Canning in the seventh inning had already shifted the landscape by plus-19.4 percent, pulling Washington back into contention. Los Angeles had its chances in the tenth, but Anthony Rendon's strikeout against Derek Law cost the Angels 18.0 percent in win probability, and Taylor Ward's subsequent groundout added another plus-16.4 percent to Washington's side of the ledger, effectively sealing the Angels' fate before Tena finished the job. The Nationals also benefited from Keibert Ruiz's flyout in the ninth registering a plus-14.0 percent swing, a product of Los Angeles stranding runners and failing to extend their lead.

Tena finished as the game's most impactful offensive player, posting plus-39.3 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.4, while Wood was close behind at plus-20.8 percent WPA and a team-best plus-1.9 RE24. Zach Neto was notable on the Angels' side despite the loss, contributing plus-22.6 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.0. Out of the bullpen, Eduardo Salazar led Washington's pitching staff with plus-14.0 percent WPA, supported by Hunter Strickland at plus-10.9 percent and José A. Ferrer at plus-10.6 percent, as the Nationals' relievers ultimately held together long enough for Tena to deliver the final verdict.