MLB Recap · July 6, 2024

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

BOS4
Final
NYY14

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
BOS003010000480
NYY10207040-14141

The Story

The New York Yankees routed the Boston Red Sox 14-4 at Yankee Stadium on July 6, 2024, a game the DiamondIQ model entered favoring the home side at 61% and closed at 100% as New York methodically dismantled Boston's pitching across several decisive innings.

The game's first major swing came in the bottom of the third, when Alex Verdugo drove a home run off Josh Winckowski, a play the DiamondIQ model credited with a +18.7% win-probability shift. Boston briefly responded in the top of the fifth, as Rafael Devers hit a home run off Gerrit Cole that added +12.7% in win probability from the Red Sox perspective and kept the game within reach at that moment. The Yankees answered with a seven-run fifth inning that effectively ended the contest. Anthony Volpe's double off Greg Weissert added +16.8%, Austin Wells drew a walk from the same pitcher adding +13.3%, and Ben Rice followed with a home run off Chase Anderson worth +11.1%, a sequence that buried any realistic path to a Boston comeback. New York added four more in the seventh to set the final margin.

Among individual performers, Verdugo finished as the game's second-highest WPA contributor at +20.2% with a RE24 of +1.4, while Devers led all batters at +21.1% WPA and +1.5 RE24 despite being on the losing side. Volpe rounded out the top three at +13.6% WPA. On the pitching side, Tim Hill led New York's relievers with a +4.2% WPA contribution, as the Yankees bullpen closed out the final innings without incident. New York's 14 hits against a Boston staff that allowed runs in three separate innings told the complete story of the afternoon.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025BOS bats firstFinalNYY win %BOS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 60.5% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Alex Verdugo Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Josh Winckowski
+18.7%
Anthony Volpe Double
Bot 5th · off Greg Weissert
+16.8%
Austin Wells Walk
Bot 5th · off Greg Weissert
+13.3%
Rafael Devers Home Run
Top 5th · off Gerrit Cole
+12.7%
Ben Rice Home Run
Bot 5th · off Chase Anderson
+11.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Rafael Devers+21.1%+1.5 RE24
Alex Verdugo+20.2%+1.4 RE24
Anthony Volpe+13.6%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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