Los Angeles Angels at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Angels handed the Chicago Cubs a 7-0 shutout at Wrigley Field on July 6, 2024, a result that was never particularly close. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Chicago holding a 58 percent win probability before first pitch, but that figure eroded steadily and finished at zero. Los Angeles scored in each of the first five innings, totaling 7 runs on 12 hits with no errors, while the Cubs managed just 4 hits and committed 2 errors of their own.

The decisive sequence came in the third inning, when a Willie Calhoun fielders choice off Colten Brewer shifted win probability by plus 6.7 percent in the Angels' favor, followed shortly by a Zach Neto single that added another 4.9 percent. Chicago's inability to generate any counter-momentum was evident as early as the first inning, when Seiya Suzuki struck out against Tyler Anderson at a cost of 4.8 percent win probability, and Dansby Swanson's second-inning strikeout off Anderson bled another 7.7 percent from the Cubs' chances. Taylor Ward's caught stealing in the top of the second, counterintuitively, registered as a plus 5.2 percent swing for Los Angeles, reflecting how the Cubs' defense failed to capitalize on the moment.

Tyler Anderson was the clear engine of the victory, posting a WPA of plus 22.2 percent to lead all pitchers and effectively render the game a formality by the middle innings. Among position players, Willie Calhoun finished with a WPA of plus 8.9 percent and an RE24 of plus 0.9, while Taylor Ward matched him closely at plus 8.7 percent WPA and led the group with a plus 1.1 RE24. Mickey Moniak also contributed positively to win probability at plus 4.4 percent despite a negative RE24 of minus 1.7. Ben Joyce and Tyson Miller each finished the game without adding to or subtracting from the Angels' win probability, preserving the shutout cleanly.