MLB Recap · July 4, 2024

Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics: Final Score & Recap

LAA0
Final
OAK5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA000000000041
OAK00300101-540

The Story

The Oakland Athletics handed the Los Angeles Angels a 5-0 shutout on July 4, 2024, at Oakland Coliseum, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win probability beginning at a near-even 49 percent before climbing to a certainty of 100 percent by game's end. Oakland's offense broke the scoreless tie in the third inning with a three-run outburst that proved to be the decisive sequence of the game, and the Athletics added single runs in the sixth and eighth to close out a dominant performance. The Angels managed just four hits and committed one error, while Oakland's pitching staff held them to nothing across all nine innings.

The third inning was where Oakland effectively put the game away, and the DiamondIQ model reflected that in real time. Miguel Andujar's single off Roansy Contreras generated the largest win-probability swing of the night, adding 11.1 percent in favor of Oakland, while Brent Rooker followed with his own single for an additional 9.5 percent swing. On the Angels' side, Taylor Ward's flyout against JP Sears in the top of the third was the most damaging missed opportunity for Los Angeles, costing the Angels 8.0 percent in win probability, with Nolan Schanuel's lineout in the same frame adding another 4.3 percent drain. Zach Neto's pop out against Osvaldo Bido in the sixth further suppressed any Angels momentum, costing them 4.5 percent.

JP Sears was the standout performer of the evening by a wide margin, posting a model-leading plus-20.1 percent WPA contribution from the mound. Osvaldo Bido and Hunter Strickland added plus-5.0 and plus-4.8 percent respectively, combining with Sears to stifle an Angels lineup that never found its footing. Among Oakland's hitters, Andujar led with plus-9.8 percent WPA, while Rooker contributed plus-9.0 percent and Lawrence Butler, though lower in WPA at plus-2.0 percent, led all batters with a RE24 of plus-1.6, reflecting his broader contribution to Oakland's run-environment advantage throughout the game.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalOAK win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 49% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Miguel Andujar Single
Bot 3rd · off Roansy Contreras
+11.1%
Brent Rooker Single
Bot 3rd · off Roansy Contreras
+9.5%
Taylor Ward Flyout
Top 3rd · off JP Sears
-8.0%
Zach Neto Pop Out
Top 6th · off Osvaldo Bido
-4.5%
Nolan Schanuel Lineout
Top 3rd · off JP Sears
-4.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Miguel Andujar+9.8%+0.4 RE24
Brent Rooker+9.0%+1.4 RE24
Lawrence Butler+2.0%+1.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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