San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| ATL | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
The Story
The San Francisco Giants defeated the Atlanta Braves 5-3 on July 2, 2024, at Truist Park, handing Atlanta a home loss despite the DiamondIQ model entering the night with a 60 percent win probability favoring the Braves. San Francisco scored in five of nine innings, building their lead incrementally before holding off a late Atlanta push, and the Braves' error contributed to a clean Giants ledger of nine hits and zero miscues against Atlanta's six hits and one mistake in the field.
The fifth inning proved to be the decisive stretch, as consecutive home runs off Reynaldo López swung the game firmly in San Francisco's favor. LaMonte Wade Jr. went deep for a swing worth plus-12.3 percent in win probability, and Jorge Soler followed immediately with another home run adding plus-11.1 percent, a back-to-back sequence that cracked open what had been a scoreless contest through four frames. The eighth inning produced the sharpest single-play reversal of the night on the other side of the ledger, when Matt Olson grounded out against Tyler Rogers in a moment that cost Atlanta 18.7 percent in win probability. Ozzie Albies answered with a single off Rogers worth plus-16.5 percent, keeping the Braves briefly alive, but Camilo Doval closed the door in the ninth, and Adam Duvall's strikeout to end the game represented a plus-14.4 percent swing that sealed San Francisco's road win.
Among individual contributors, Adam Duvall led all batters with a plus-18.0 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-0.5, while Luis Matos posted plus-13.5 percent WPA alongside a plus-1.0 RE24 and Heliot Ramos contributed plus-11.3 percent WPA with a plus-0.9 RE24. Out of the bullpen, Ryan Walker led San Francisco's relievers at plus-9.7 percent WPA, with Randy Rodríguez adding plus-7.9 percent and Pierce Johnson contributing plus-5.5 percent, a collective bullpen effort that protected the lead through the final three innings and dropped the DiamondIQ model's estimate of an Atlanta win to zero percent by game's end.