Oakland Athletics at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | 5 | 8 | 1 |
The Story
The Arizona Diamondbacks defeated the Oakland Athletics 5-1 at Chase Field on June 30, 2024, in a game the DiamondIQ model had Arizona favored at 68% before first pitch and ultimately closed at 100%. The Diamondbacks managed to keep the game scoreless through three innings before Christian Walker broke through in the bottom of the fourth with a run-scoring single off Luis Medina, a play worth 7.3% in win probability. Oakland answered in the top of the fifth when Zack Gelof connected on a home run off Brandon Pfaadt, the single largest swing in Oakland's favor all night at plus 12.3%. That momentum evaporated immediately, however, when JJ Bleday grounded into a double play on the very next significant sequence, costing the Athletics 12.2% in win probability and effectively neutralizing Gelof's effort.
Arizona seized control for good in the bottom of the seventh, delivering the decisive blow in a three-run frame against Oakland's bullpen. Corbin Carroll's double off T.J. McFarland added 11.6% to Arizona's win probability, and Blaze Alexander followed with a single off Austin Adams that pushed the needle another 14.2%, putting the game out of reach at plus 1 run on the night for Arizona in that inning alone. The Diamondbacks added one more in the eighth to set the final margin at 5-1, finishing with eight hits against Oakland's pitching staff.
Christian Walker led all position players by WPA at plus 18.7% with a RE24 of plus 1.8, making him the clear offensive catalyst for Arizona. Blaze Alexander contributed plus 14.2% WPA as the key run-producer in the seventh, while Brent Rooker paced Oakland's modest offense with plus 5.5% WPA. On the mound, Luis Medina was the standout performer despite allowing a run, generating plus 25.5% WPA by keeping Arizona's lineup in check through his outing. Joe Mantiply and Brandon Pfaadt each contributed over plus 8% WPA in relief and starting roles respectively, reflecting the model's view that Arizona's pitching largely controlled the contest from the opening frame forward.