Detroit Tigers at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Angels walked off the Detroit Tigers 6-5 in ten innings on June 29, 2024, at Angel Stadium, completing a comeback that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win climb from 53 percent before first pitch all the way to 100 percent by the game's final out. The Angels trailed for stretches but kept finding answers, and the decisive sequence came in the bottom of the tenth when Luis Guillorme laid down a sacrifice bunt that shifted win probability by 19.5 percent, setting the table for Kevin Pillar's walk-off single off Jason Foley that added another 16.4 percent swing and ended the game.

The biggest single swing of the night belonged to Taylor Ward, whose double in the bottom of the seventh off Beau Brieske moved the needle 26.0 percent in Los Angeles's favor and was the most impactful batting play of the contest. Ward finished as the top batter by WPA at plus-43.4 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.9. Detroit briefly looked poised to take control in the top of the sixth when Jake Rogers launched a home run off Griffin Canning, a swing worth plus-22.8 percent in win probability, and Rogers ended the night at plus-20.7 percent WPA with a RE24 of plus-1.7. The Angels responded in the eighth, however, when Logan O'Hoppe went deep off Will Vest for a 21.9 percent probability swing that kept Los Angeles within striking distance heading to extras. Willie Calhoun also contributed meaningfully, finishing at plus-19.5 percent WPA and plus-1.8 RE24.

On the mound, Reese Olson led all pitchers with plus-13.7 percent WPA for Detroit, while Angels closer Carlos Estévez posted plus-13.5 percent WPA in his own right. Carson Fulmer added plus-7.4 percent WPA in relief. Despite the strong pitching contributions from the Tigers side, the bullpen could not hold the lead in extras, and the Angels capitalized to take a game that the DiamondIQ model had considered essentially a coin flip before the opening pitch.