San Diego Padres at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
The Story
The San Diego Padres routed the Boston Red Sox 11-1 at Fenway Park on June 29, 2024, in a game that was never particularly close after the early innings. The DiamondIQ model opened with Boston holding a 53% win probability, but that figure collapsed steadily as San Diego built an insurmountable advantage, finishing at 0%. The Padres posted 16 hits against a Boston defense that committed three errors, while San Diego played a clean game in the field.
The decisive damage came in waves against Red Sox starter Tanner Houck. The single most consequential moment of the game was Manny Machado's third-inning home run off Houck, a swing that shifted win probability by 18.4 percentage points in San Diego's favor. Ha-Seong Kim's single in the second inning had already opened a 6.3-point crack in Boston's position, and Jackson Merrill followed with another home run off Houck in the fourth that added another 7.0 points of swing. The fifth inning brought a six-run eruption that effectively ended any realistic Boston comeback, pushing the final margin to ten runs. Wilyer Abreu's fourth-inning double was Boston's most productive moment at 5.3 percentage points gained, but it came in a losing effort against Michael King, who turned in the game's strongest pitching performance.
By the WPA and RE24 measures tracked by the DiamondIQ model, Machado was the clear standout with a cumulative WPA of plus-21.1% and an RE24 of plus-3.4. Merrill contributed plus-7.7% WPA and plus-1.9 RE24, while Kim added plus-5.4% WPA. On the mound, Michael King led all pitchers with a plus-18.0% WPA, anchoring a Padres staff that gave Boston no path back into the contest.