MLB Recap · June 29, 2024

Oakland Athletics at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

OAK0
Final
AZ3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
OAK000000000021
AZ01110000-3120

The Story

The Arizona Diamondbacks shut out the Oakland Athletics 3-0 on June 29, 2024, at Chase Field, with all three runs scoring across the second, third, and fourth innings and Arizona never relinquishing the lead. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Arizona holding a 67% win probability before first pitch and closed at 100% as Oakland managed just two hits and committed an error on the night.

The decisive stretch unfolded against Athletics starter Hogan Harris across the game's early innings. Ketel Marte's single in the second added 6.8% to Arizona's win probability and got the scoring started, followed by Jake McCarthy's single in the third, which swung win probability another 7.5% in the Diamondbacks' favor. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. delivered the biggest single play of the night with a double in the fourth that shifted win probability by 7.9%. On the other side, Randal Grichuk twice proved costly for Oakland's chances, with a first-inning pop out costing the Athletics 5.5% win probability and a fourth-inning groundout into a double play off Osvaldo Bido draining another 6.7%.

Marte finished as the top offensive contributor with a WPA of plus-12.0% and a RE24 of plus-1.9, while McCarthy and Jose Herrera added modest support at plus-4.4% and plus-3.2% WPA respectively. On the mound, Zac Gallen was the most impactful arm by the DiamondIQ model's numbers, posting a WPA of plus-17.1%, with Osvaldo Bido and Kevin Ginkel adding plus-11.6% and plus-9.5% in relief. Arizona's pitching staff combined to hold Oakland to a .182 average across nine innings, completing the shutout without an error.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025OAK bats firstFinalAZ win %OAK win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 66.7% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Bot 4th · off Hogan Harris
+7.9%
Jake McCarthy Single
Bot 3rd · off Hogan Harris
+7.5%
Ketel Marte Single
Bot 2nd · off Hogan Harris
+6.8%
Randal Grichuk Grounded Into DP
Bot 4th · off Osvaldo Bido
-6.7%
Randal Grichuk Pop Out
Bot 1st · off Hogan Harris
-5.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Ketel Marte+12.0%+1.9 RE24
Jake McCarthy+4.4%+0.3 RE24
Jose Herrera+3.2%+0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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