Oakland Athletics at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

The Oakland Athletics overcame an early deficit at Chase Field on June 28, 2024, rallying past the Arizona Diamondbacks 9-4 to flip a game the DiamondIQ model had opened with a 66 percent home win probability all the way to zero. Arizona grabbed the lead with two runs in the first inning, but Oakland chipped away with single runs in the third and fourth before the game turned decisively in the top of the eighth.

The pivotal sequence came when Zack Gelof ripped a triple off Ryan Thompson in the eighth inning, a swing that shifted win probability by plus-26.1 percent and ignited a three-run frame that put the game firmly out of reach. Tyler Soderstrom followed with a home run, also off Thompson, adding another plus-18.6 percent swing and capping what became a six-run eighth. Arizona had made things interesting in the sixth and seventh innings, when Lourdes Gurriel Jr. connected on a solo home run off JP Sears for a plus-14.8 percent boost and Ketel Marte singled off Scott Alexander for plus-14.5 percent, but Corbin Carroll's strikeout against T.J. McFarland in the bottom of the eighth, worth negative-8.8 percent for the home side, symbolized the Diamondbacks' inability to mount a meaningful response.

Gelof finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting a cumulative plus-37.1 percent WPA and plus-2.3 RE24 to anchor Oakland's offensive turnaround. Soderstrom added plus-14.0 percent WPA, while Marte led Arizona's contributors at plus-15.1 percent WPA despite the loss. On the pitching side, Justin Martinez was the most impactful arm at plus-12.5 percent WPA, with McFarland and Sears each contributing positively for Oakland in relief as the Athletics finished with 14 hits and no errors in the victory.