Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| CWS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers held on to defeat the Chicago White Sox 4-3 at Guaranteed Rate Field on June 25, 2024, completing the win despite a late push from Chicago that made the final moments more tense than the scoreboard suggests. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the White Sox just a 20 percent chance of winning at home, and that probability never recovered, finishing at zero percent.
The game's decisive stretch came early. Chicago jumped out to a 3-1 lead after the first inning, but Freddie Freeman quieted the home crowd in the top of the third with a home run off Chris Flexen that carried a win-probability swing of plus 17.4 percent, pulling Los Angeles back into a position of control. The Dodgers added another run that same inning to take a 4-3 lead they would not relinquish. Cavan Biggio's strikeout against Flexen in the second had been the single largest negative swing for Los Angeles at minus 14.9 percent, underscoring how much the early innings shaped the contest.
The most consequential moment by win-probability impact belonged to Eloy Jiménez, whose groundout to end the bottom of the ninth — against Evan Phillips — represented a plus 31.6 percent swing in Chicago's favor that ultimately went unrealized, making it the play of the game by WPA. On the pitching side, Daniel Hudson was the standout performer, posting a plus 23.3 percent WPA that included inducing Tommy Pham's key strikeout in the eighth, a minus 12.9 percent blow to Chicago's chances. Blake Treinen and Tanner Banks also contributed meaningfully at plus 14.9 and plus 13.2 percent WPA respectively, as the Dodgers bullpen preserved the one-run lead through the final frames.