MLB Recap · June 24, 2024

Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

OAK1
Final
LAA5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
OAK010000000160
LAA20200100-590

The Story

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Oakland Athletics 5-1 at Angel Stadium on June 24, 2024, a result the DiamondIQ model anticipated from the outset, assigning the Angels a 59% pre-game win probability that climbed to 100% by the final out. Los Angeles built its advantage early, scoring two runs in the first inning and two more in the third, with Mickey Moniak's single in the bottom of the third carrying the largest single-play win-probability swing of the game at plus 9.1%. A Willie Calhoun walk in the same frame added another 5.5% to the Angels' win probability, compounding the damage off Oakland starter Luis Medina. The Angels added an insurance run in the sixth to seal the outcome.

Oakland's best opportunity to claw back came in the top of the sixth against Griffin Canning, but it unraveled quickly. Miguel Andujar's double briefly shifted the win probability 6.3% in the Athletics' favor, and a Brent Rooker walk briefly extended the threat, though the walk simultaneously represented a 5.9% swing against Oakland's prospects by advancing the lineup toward a double-play situation. That is precisely what followed, as Tyler Soderstrom grounded into a double play, a minus-5.4% swing that effectively ended the rally and any realistic path to a comeback. Canning finished as the game's most impactful pitcher by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, accumulating plus 21.1% in win probability added.

Moniak led all position players with plus 13.3% WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.4, while Taylor Ward contributed plus 7.5% WPA and plus 1.3 RE24 to support the Angels' balanced offensive effort. Andujar's plus 5.6% WPA represented the only notable individual contribution from the Oakland side. The Athletics managed six hits without an error but could not convert, finishing with a single run against an Angels pitching staff that also received plus 1.9% WPA from Ben Joyce and plus 1.1% from Aaron Brooks in relief of Canning.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025OAK bats firstFinalLAA win %OAK win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 58.7% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Mickey Moniak Single
Bot 3rd · off Luis Medina
+9.1%
Miguel Andujar Double
Top 6th · off Griffin Canning
+6.3%
Brent Rooker Walk
Top 6th · off Griffin Canning
-5.9%
Bot 3rd · off Luis Medina
+5.5%
Tyler Soderstrom Grounded Into DP
Top 6th · off Griffin Canning
-5.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Mickey Moniak+13.3%+1.4 RE24
Taylor Ward+7.5%+1.3 RE24
Miguel Andujar+5.6%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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