Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| COL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
The Story
The Washington Nationals won a tight pitcher's duel at Coors Field on June 23, 2024, defeating the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in a game that stayed dormant until a two-run ninth inning sealed the result. Colorado struck first with a run in the second inning and held that advantage through eight frames, but Washington's bullpen kept the deficit contained long enough for the offense to make a late move. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Colorado a 39 percent win probability as the home side, a number that reflected the Rockies' advantage that held firm for most of the evening before collapsing entirely by the final out.
The decisive sequence unfolded in the top of the ninth against Jalen Beeks, where Washington manufactured both of its runs in a span that produced the two largest win-probability swings of the game. Joey Meneses singled to push Washington's win probability up 33.0 percentage points, and Lane Thomas followed with a double worth an additional 28.0 points, plating the runs that gave the Nationals a 2-1 lead. Kyle Finnegan then closed the game in the bottom of the ninth, inducing a strikeout of Nolan Jones worth a negative 16.6-point swing against Colorado, a flyout from Hunter Goodman at minus 13.1 points, and a strikeout of Michael Toglia that added 21.4 points to Washington's ledger and ended the threat. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of Colorado's win probability fell to zero percent by game's end.
On the individual side, Kyle Freeland led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 35.3 percent, keeping Washington's offense quiet deep into the game. Nick Mears contributed plus 19.3 percent in relief, and starter Jake Irvin added plus 8.4 percent for Washington. Among batters, Michael Toglia led the game with a WPA of plus 28.1 percent despite being on the losing side, reflecting the threatening at-bats Colorado produced in the ninth that ultimately came up short. Meneses posted plus 28.0 percent and Thomas plus 19.8 percent, making them the two most impactful offensive contributors in what was an otherwise quiet night for Washington's lineup.