Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The Atlanta Braves silenced Yankee Stadium on June 23, 2024, defeating the New York Yankees 3-1 to complete a game that the DiamondIQ model had opened as a 62 percent home-win probability before closing at zero. Atlanta built its margin methodically, scratching across a run in the third inning and adding two more in the fifth, while New York's lone run in the bottom of the sixth proved too little against a Braves pitching staff that commanded the game from start to finish.

The decisive sequence began in the top of the third when Jarred Kelenic connected on a home run off Nestor Cortes, a swing that shifted win probability by 10.9 percent in Atlanta's favor. Ozzie Albies extended the advantage further with a single off Cortes in the fifth, adding 8.8 percent to Atlanta's chances and keying a two-run frame. New York's best moment came in the bottom of the sixth when Anthony Volpe doubled off Max Fried to generate a 14.8 percent swing, and the Yankees did push across their only run that inning, but Alex Verdugo immediately grounded into a double play that swung probability 9.9 percent back toward Atlanta. The Yankees' final threat dissolved in the ninth when Gleyber Torres struck out against Raisel Iglesias, a moment that added 14.4 percent to Atlanta's closing probability.

Fried was the game's dominant individual force, finishing with a WPA of plus-24.2 percent across his outing and navigating the Volpe double without further damage. Kelenic led Atlanta's position players at plus-10.7 percent WPA and plus-0.5 RE24, while Albies and Orlando Arcia each contributed meaningfully, posting WPA figures of plus-6.6 and plus-5.9 percent respectively. Joe Jimenez and Pierce Johnson secured the final innings with WPA contributions of plus-13.3 and plus-8.8 percent, preserving a clean 3-1 final.