MLB Recap · June 22, 2024

Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

SEA9
Final
MIA0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SEA2004100209152
MIA000000000041

The Story

The Seattle Mariners shut out the Miami Marlins 9-0 at loanDepot park on June 22, 2024, running away from a team the DiamondIQ model had given just a 32% chance of winning at first pitch. Seattle piled up 15 hits and spread the damage across multiple innings, with the knockout blow arriving in the fourth when the Mariners sent a parade of hitters to the plate against Shaun Anderson. Luke Raley's triple in that frame was the single most impactful play of the game, shifting Seattle's win probability by plus 7.7 points, and Dylan Moore followed with a double worth another 5.8 points. J.P. Crawford added a fielder's choice at plus 4.4 points and Ryan Bliss chipped in a single at plus 4.2 points, turning what had been a manageable deficit for Miami into an insurmountable one by the time that inning concluded with four runs scored.

On the mound, Logan Gilbert was the clear standout, accumulating plus 13.9 points of win probability added in what amounted to a dominant, game-long performance against a Marlins lineup that managed only four hits. Miami's best chance to change the game's complexion came in the second inning when Tim Anderson grounded into a double play off Gilbert, a swing of minus 6.0 points in win probability that extinguished any early rally the home side might have constructed. Declan Cronin and Eduard Bazardo each contributed neutral outings in relief, preserving the shutout the rest of the way. Among position players, Raley finished as the top contributor by WPA at plus 6.5, while Moore led the Seattle lineup with a plus 1.7 RE24 mark and Bliss posted plus 1.4, reflecting how thoroughly the visitors controlled both the scoring and the run-expectancy ledger throughout the afternoon.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SEA bats firstFinalMIA win %SEA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 31.6% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Luke Raley Triple
Top 4th · off Shaun Anderson
+7.7%
Tim Anderson Grounded Into DP
Bot 2nd · off Logan Gilbert
-6.0%
Dylan Moore Double
Top 4th · off Shaun Anderson
+5.8%
J.P. Crawford Fielders Choice
Top 4th · off Shaun Anderson
+4.4%
Ryan Bliss Single
Top 4th · off Shaun Anderson
+4.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Luke Raley+6.5%+0.1 RE24
Ryan Bliss+5.2%+1.4 RE24
Dylan Moore+5.1%+1.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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