Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies routed the Arizona Diamondbacks 12-1 at Citizens Bank Park on June 22, 2024, in a game that was never competitive after the early innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with Philadelphia as a 70% favorite and reached 100% by the final out, a reflection of how thoroughly the Phillies controlled every phase of the contest. Arizona managed just 2 hits across nine innings while Philadelphia collected 14, turning what was a moderate pre-game edge into a complete domination.

The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the third inning against Arizona starter Tommy Henry, who surrendered a series of damaging blows that effectively ended the contest. Bryce Harper delivered the most impactful swing of the game, a home run that swung win probability by plus 11.6 points and served as the single highest-leverage play of the night. Alec Bohm followed with another home run off Henry for an additional plus 4.6 points of win probability, and Kyle Schwarber added a double worth plus 4.5 points in that same frame. The lone moment Arizona slowed the bleeding came when Trea Turner grounded out to close the inning, a minus 3.1 point swing that at least prevented further damage. Henry absorbed the bulk of Philadelphia's offense in that critical third.

Among individual performers, Harper finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 12.2 with a RE24 of plus 1.9, while Schwarber matched that RE24 figure and posted plus 7.7 WPA. Nick Castellanos led all players in RE24 at plus 3.8 alongside a plus 4.5 WPA. On the mound, Zack Wheeler was the model's top-graded pitcher at plus 6.8 WPA, holding Arizona to minimal production and supporting the DiamondIQ model's lean toward Philadelphia throughout the game.