Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Colorado Rockies 5-3 at Coors Field on June 20, 2024, completing the win against a team the DiamondIQ model had pegged at just a 28 percent chance of winning before first pitch. Los Angeles built its advantage early, with the decisive offensive sequence coming in the top of the third inning off Rockies starter Ty Blach. Andy Pages delivered a double that shifted win probability 11.1 percent in the Dodgers' favor, and Miguel Vargas followed with a single worth an additional 8.0 percent, capping a two-run frame that gave Los Angeles a lead it would not relinquish. The Dodgers plated two more runs in the fourth to push their advantage to 5-0 before Colorado mounted any meaningful resistance.
The Rockies made it interesting in the late innings, with Ryan McMahon hitting a home run off Alex Vesia in the bottom of the eighth that registered as the single largest positive play for Colorado on the night, a 12.0 percent win-probability swing that trimmed the deficit to two. McMahon finished as the top batter by WPA at plus 14.7 percent with a RE24 of plus 1.0, and Jake Cave contributed meaningfully as well, his sixth-inning single off Blake Treinen adding 8.9 percent in win probability and generating a RE24 of plus 1.2. Despite those individual efforts, the Rockies could not complete the comeback.
Evan Phillips closed out the game by striking out Ezequiel Tovar in the bottom of the ninth, a play that carried a 14.4 percent win-probability swing as the final out sealed the Dodgers' victory. Tovar, who entered as Colorado's second-highest WPA batter on the strength of that sequence, finished at plus 14.4 percent WPA but minus 0.1 RE24, reflecting how late and ultimately futile the Rockies' threat proved. On the pitching side, Daniel Hudson led all arms with a plus 6.3 percent WPA contribution, followed by Gavin Stone at plus 4.0 percent and Anthony Molina at plus 3.6 percent, as the Dodgers' bullpen collective held Colorado to three runs on six hits without committing an error.