MLB Recap · June 19, 2024

Kansas City Royals at Oakland Athletics: Final Score & Recap

KC1
Final
OAK5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
KC000010000181
OAK00200021-580

The Story

The Oakland Athletics defeated the Kansas City Royals 5-1 at Oakland Coliseum on June 19, 2024, a result that pushed the DiamondIQ model's estimate of an Oakland win from 36% before first pitch to 100% at the final out. The game was effectively decided in two scoring bursts, with Oakland plating two runs in the third inning and two more in the seventh, while Kansas City managed its lone run in the fifth. Luis Medina anchored the pitching performance for Oakland, finishing as the top pitcher by WPA at plus-21.7%, and he was central to keeping the Royals offense largely in check across his time on the mound.

The decisive swings of win probability came from Oakland's bats and Kansas City's inability to convert at critical moments. In the third inning, Miguel Andujar's single off Cole Ragans moved Oakland's win probability up 9.6 points, setting the tone early. The Royals showed some life in the fifth when Bobby Witt Jr. doubled off Luis Medina for a 9.2-point swing in Kansas City's favor, leading to their lone run, but that momentum was short-lived. The seventh inning proved fatal for the Royals, as Brent Rooker's single off John Schreiber added 12.1 points to Oakland's win probability, and Maikel Garcia's grounded into double play against Dany Jimenez in the top half cost Kansas City 9.2 points of win probability at a moment when a rally might have changed the complexion of the game. Tyler Nevin added a single in that same seventh-inning frame for another 7.2-point boost.

Rooker was Oakland's standout performer by every DiamondIQ measure, finishing with a plus-17.3% WPA and plus-1.8 RE24, making him the single most impactful bat on either side. Andujar followed at plus-9.8% WPA and plus-0.8 RE24. On the Kansas City side, Kyle Isbel was the lone Royal to register a positive WPA figure at plus-4.3%, a modest contribution in what was otherwise a frustrating offensive night for a club that collected eight hits but crossed the plate just once. Dany Jimenez and Austin Adams supported Medina out of the bullpen, adding plus-8.5% and plus-4.5% WPA respectively as Oakland closed out the victory cleanly.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025KC bats firstFinalOAK win %KC win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 36.2% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Brent Rooker Single
Bot 7th · off John Schreiber
+12.1%
Miguel Andujar Single
Bot 3rd · off Cole Ragans
+9.6%
Bobby Witt Jr. Double
Top 5th · off Luis Medina
+9.2%
Maikel Garcia Grounded Into DP
Top 7th · off Dany Jiménez
-9.2%
Tyler Nevin Single
Bot 7th · off John Schreiber
+7.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Brent Rooker+17.3%+1.8 RE24
Miguel Andujar+9.8%+0.8 RE24
Kyle Isbel+4.3%+0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →