Detroit Tigers at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The Atlanta Braves defeated the Detroit Tigers 2-1 at Truist Park on June 17, 2024, in a low-scoring game that stayed scoreless through five innings before Atlanta pulled away with a pair of late runs. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with a 62% home win probability for the Braves and closed at 100%, reflecting how thoroughly Atlanta controlled the contest once the scoring began.
The decisive sequence unfolded across the seventh and eighth innings. In the bottom of the seventh, a Forrest Wall single off Will Vest shifted win probability by plus 15.4%, and an Austin Riley double off Vest added another plus 10.6%, setting the table for Atlanta's first run. Detroit mounted brief resistance in the top of the eighth, but an Akil Baddoo strikeout against Daysbel Hernández swung probability minus 9.6% against the Tigers. Ozzie Albies then delivered the knockout blow in the bottom half, hitting a home run off Shelby Miller that added plus 23.3% win probability and pushed Atlanta's lead to 2-1, a margin that held.
On the pitching side, Reese Olson led all pitchers with a plus 36.0% WPA contribution for Detroit, keeping the Tigers in contention deep into the game despite the eventual loss, while Joe Jiménez and Jesse Chavez added plus 15.2% and plus 14.9% respectively for Atlanta's bullpen. Among position players, Albies finished with plus 17.8% WPA, Riley Greene contributed plus 16.1% WPA and the game's top RE24 mark of plus 0.8, and Austin Riley closed at plus 13.3% WPA with a plus 1.1 RE24, making him Atlanta's most productive run-environment performer on the night.