Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 1 |
| COL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Colorado Rockies 9-5 at Coors Field on June 17, 2024, building a lead through the early innings and pulling away decisively in the seventh and eighth before holding off a late Colorado rally in the ninth. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Rockies just a 29 percent chance of winning at home, and that number reached zero by the final out as Los Angeles finished with 14 hits against six for Colorado.
The decisive stretch came in the top of the seventh inning, where Miguel Rojas delivered the biggest single swing of the game, a double off Geoff Hartlieb that shifted win probability by plus 10.9 percent in the Dodgers' favor. A subsequent single by Cavan Biggio off Hartlieb added another 4.8 percent to Los Angeles's advantage, as the Dodgers pushed across two runs in the frame to extend their lead. Colorado's brightest moment had come much earlier, in the bottom of the second, when Jacob Stallings connected on a home run off James Paxton for a plus 6.7 percent swing, briefly giving the Rockies some life after Will Smith's triple off Cal Quantrill in the top half had put Los Angeles ahead. Teoscar Hernandez's strikeout against Jake Bird in the sixth represented the Dodgers' costliest at-bat, a minus 4.4 percent dip, though Los Angeles recovered with two more runs in the eighth before Colorado plated four in the ninth in a deficit too large to overcome.
Among individual performers, Rojas finished with a plus 12.2 percent WPA and plus 1.1 RE24, while Shohei Ohtani posted plus 11.5 percent WPA and the game's best RE24 at plus 1.7, underscoring his broad impact across his plate appearances. On the pitching side, James Paxton led all pitchers with a plus 24.1 percent WPA for the Dodgers, while Cal Quantrill contributed plus 8.8 percent for Colorado in a losing effort. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Rockies win never climbed from its pre-game floor, as Los Angeles controlled the game's critical leverage moments throughout.