Chicago White Sox at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago White Sox overcame a 75 percent pre-game home win probability assigned to Arizona by the DiamondIQ model and dismantled the Diamondbacks 9-2 at Chase Field on June 15, 2024, finishing the game with a 12-hit, zero-error performance that left the model's final estimate of an Arizona victory at zero percent. The White Sox scored in five of nine innings, steadily building a lead that rendered the Diamondbacks' early home advantage meaningless by the middle frames.

Andrew Vaughn was the central figure in Chicago's offensive demolition, accounting for the two largest batting win-probability swings of the game. His single off Thyago Vieira in the third inning added 9.5 percent to Chicago's win probability, and his solo home run off Bryce Jarvis in the fifth pushed that figure up another 21.1 percent, giving him a cumulative WPA of plus-26.2 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.4 on the night. Lenyn Sosa followed with the second most impactful blow of the contest, a home run off Tommy Henry in the seventh inning that swung win probability an additional 19.4 percent in Chicago's favor and left him with a WPA of plus-22.4 percent and a RE24 of plus-2.9. Paul DeJong added a fourth-inning home run off Vieira worth plus-11.3 percent in win probability, completing a three-man power display that did the bulk of Chicago's damage.

On the mound, Erick Fedde was the backbone of the effort, finishing with a WPA of plus-24.1 percent despite allowing the only meaningful Arizona response, a Ketel Marte single in the fifth worth plus-7.8 percent from Arizona's perspective. John Brebbia contributed plus-1.7 percent in relief, and Steven Wilson closed out at a neutral plus-0.0 percent. The Diamondbacks managed ten hits but the lone error in the game belonged to Arizona, and Chicago's pitching staff consistently limited the damage to preserve what became a thoroughly one-sided result.