Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates handed the Colorado Rockies a 5-2 defeat at Coors Field on June 14, 2024, steadily building their lead across the middle innings while the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate gave Colorado a 41 percent chance of winning at home, a figure that collapsed to zero by the final out. Pittsburgh scored in the first inning and added runs in the sixth, seventh, eighth, and ninth, while Colorado managed only a fifth-inning run and a consolation tally in the ninth.

The pivotal sequence came in the fifth inning, where the game shifted dramatically in both directions. Ezequiel Tovar opened Colorado's half with a triple off Luis Ortiz that added 14.1 percent to the Rockies' win probability, and Charlie Blackmon followed with a double that pushed it another 13.0 percent, pulling Colorado to within a run. But Ortiz answered by inducing a Brenton Doyle double play that swung win probability 20.3 percent back in Pittsburgh's favor, extinguishing the threat and preserving the Pirates' advantage. Ortiz finished as the top pitching performer by win-probability added, credited with plus-19.8 percent for his work. The Pirates then turned to Jack Suwinski and Andrew McCutchen to put the game away. McCutchen's sixth-inning home run off Ryan Feltner added 14.3 percent, and Suwinski's seventh-inning blast off Feltner delivered the single biggest swing of the game at plus-25.0 percent, effectively sealing it.

On the offensive side, Charlie Blackmon led all position players with a WPA of plus-18.7 and a RE24 of plus-2.4, though his efforts ultimately went unrewarded in a losing cause. Suwinski posted a plus-18.0 WPA and plus-1.3 RE24, while McCutchen contributed plus-14.0 WPA and plus-1.0 RE24 as the Pirates collected nine hits without committing an error. Colin Holderman and Aroldis Chapman added plus-6.3 and plus-1.2 WPA respectively in Pittsburgh's bullpen to close out the win.