Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap

The Atlanta Braves defeated the Baltimore Orioles 6-3 on June 13, 2024, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, handing the home side a loss despite entering the game as a 66 percent favorite according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate. Atlanta built its lead incrementally, scoring twice in the first inning, once in the fourth, once in the sixth, and adding two more in the ninth, while Baltimore managed all three of its runs in a seventh-inning burst that briefly reshaped the game. The Braves finished with 12 hits and committed no errors, while Baltimore's two errors factored into a rough night for the home club.

The seventh inning contained the game's single most consequential play in either direction. Kyle Stowers connected for a home run off Pierce Johnson that swung win probability 27.9 percent in Baltimore's favor, representing the largest positive moment for the Orioles all night and briefly keeping their deficit manageable. However, the rally stalled, and Baltimore's Anthony Santander accounted for the two most damaging outs of the game from the home team's perspective — a flyout off Reynaldo López in the first inning that cost Baltimore 9.4 percent in win probability, and a flyout off Joe Jiménez in the eighth that erased 16.5 percent, effectively sealing the outcome.

On the pitching side, Reynaldo López was the game's dominant force, contributing a model-leading plus-42.9 percent in WPA for Atlanta, with Joe Jiménez adding another plus-23.3 percent in relief. Offensively, Ozzie Albies led all position players with plus-17.0 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-3.2, headlining a balanced Braves attack that also received meaningful contributions from Stowers at plus-12.2 percent and Michael Harris II at plus-9.8 percent despite a modest RE24 of plus-0.4.