Miami Marlins at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

The New York Mets defeated the Miami Marlins 10-4 on June 12, 2024, at Citi Field, converting an already favorable pre-game position into a commanding final result. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened at 64% in favor of the home team and closed at 100%, reflecting a game that never seriously threatened to swing Miami's way despite a few moments of tension in the middle innings.

The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the second, where the Mets piled damage on Marlins starter Braxton Garrett through a combination of timely hitting and defensive miscues. A Jeff McNeil reached on a field error that shifted win probability by 9.0 points, followed by a Francisco Alvarez single at plus-6.9 and a J.D. Martinez single at plus-5.7, all coming at Garrett's expense and establishing early separation. Miami briefly applied pressure in the top of the fifth, when Jazz Chisholm Jr. laced a single off David Peterson that moved the needle 8.9 points in the Marlins' favor, cutting into the deficit. The Mets answered immediately in the bottom half, as Starling Marte connected on a home run off Garrett that added 11.7 win-probability points and effectively closed the door on any Miami momentum.

Marte finished as the game's top offensive contributor by both WPA and RE24, posting plus-13.2 and plus-2.0 respectively, while Tyrone Taylor added plus-8.9 WPA and Chisholm led Miami's side at plus-7.1 despite being on the losing end. On the pitching side, reliever Dedniel Núñez was the standout performer, leading all pitchers with plus-14.8 WPA as he helped preserve and extend New York's advantage out of the bullpen. The Mets finished with 14 hits and committed no errors, while Miami's two errors contributed to a lopsided final that reflected New York's thorough control of the contest.