MLB Recap · June 11, 2024

Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

WSH5
Final
DET4

Line Score

Team12345678910RHE
WSH0010200101552
DET0000400000462

The Story

The Washington Nationals took down the Detroit Tigers 5-4 in ten innings at Comerica Park on June 11, 2024, completing a comeback that the DiamondIQ model had rated as a 44 percent proposition before first pitch. Detroit held its footing through four scoreless innings before the game broke open in the fifth. Riley Greene's triple off Mitchell Parker in the bottom half swung win probability 40.7 percent in Detroit's favor, capping a four-run frame that gave the Tigers what appeared to be a comfortable cushion. Washington had chipped in a run in the third, but trailed heading into the later innings before clawing back with a run in the eighth to set up the extra frame.

The tenth inning proved decisive in both directions. Washington pushed across the go-ahead run, and CJ Abrams delivered the most consequential defensive moment of the night when he struck out against Andrew Chafin, a plate appearance that shifted win probability 32.0 percent toward the Nationals by avoiding further damage. Jesse Winker then grounded into a double play off Chafin, adding another 16.6 percent swing that closed out the Washington half with the lead intact. Detroit mounted its final threat in the bottom of the tenth, but Gio Urshela's strikeout against Kyle Finnegan ended the game with a 31.6 percent swing preserving the one-run margin.

Abrams finished as the game's top offensive contributor, posting a combined WPA of plus-37.6 percent alongside a RE24 of plus-2.4, anchored by his fifth-inning triple off Beau Brieske that helped ignite the Nationals' comeback. Urshela and Winker each cleared plus-35 percent WPA through a combination of plate outcomes across the extra frame. On the pitching side, Jason Foley led Washington's relief corps with plus-13.5 percent WPA, followed by Hunter Harvey at plus-12.4 percent, as the Nationals' bullpen held Detroit scoreless from the sixth inning onward to secure the road victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025WSH bats firstFinalDET win %WSH win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 55.5% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Riley Greene Triple
Bot 5th · off Mitchell Parker
+40.7%
CJ Abrams Strikeout
Top 10th · off Andrew Chafin
+32.0%
Gio Urshela Strikeout
Bot 10th · off Kyle Finnegan
+31.6%
Jesse Winker Grounded Into DP
Top 10th · off Andrew Chafin
+16.6%
CJ Abrams Triple
Top 5th · off Beau Brieske
+15.7%

Top Batters by WPA

CJ Abrams+37.6%+2.4 RE24
Gio Urshela+35.4%+0.5 RE24
Jesse Winker+35.0%+0.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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