Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 1 |
| SD | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
The Story
The Arizona Diamondbacks handled the San Diego Padres 9-3 at Petco Park on June 9, 2024, doing the bulk of their damage in the first two innings to leave little doubt about the outcome. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving San Diego a 56 percent chance of winning at home, but that estimate collapsed to zero percent by the final out as Arizona's offense overwhelmed the Padres early and the bullpen held the lead without incident through the final seven innings.
The turning point of the game arrived in the bottom of the second inning, when Luis Arraez grounded into a double play that swung win probability 18.7 percent against San Diego, extinguishing what had been a chance for the Padres to respond to Arizona's first-inning run. That sequence proved decisive because the Diamondbacks had already pounced in the top half of the second, putting up six runs against Adam Mazur. Eugenio Suárez drew a strikeout in a critical spot that added 12.0 percent in win probability to Arizona's side, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. followed with a double that added another 8.7 percent. Arizona tacked on two more in the fourth on a Christian Walker single off Jhony Brito that contributed 5.0 percent. Jurickson Profar provided San Diego's most meaningful moment with a solo home run off Tommy Henry in the bottom of the third, a swing worth 5.5 percent in win probability, but it was too little to generate any sustained threat.
Suárez finished as the game's most impactful position player by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting a plus-18.3 percent WPA figure despite a negative RE24 of minus-0.2, reflecting how much his contributions came in high-leverage moments rather than raw run production. Gurriel added plus-7.7 percent WPA with a RE24 of plus-1.1, while Profar's homer was San Diego's lone bright spot at plus-6.3 percent WPA. On the pitching side, Tommy Henry led Arizona's staff with a plus-10.5 percent WPA, followed by Joe Mantiply at plus-2.9 percent and Kevin Ginkel at plus-1.8 percent, as the three combined to keep the Padres scoreless after the third inning and preserve the comfortable margin.