Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Houston Astros 9-7 on June 9, 2024, at Angel Stadium in a back-and-forth contest that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win begin at 47 percent before finishing at 100 percent. Houston built a commanding lead with a four-run sixth inning, capped by a Jose Altuve home run off Hunter Strickland that represented the single largest swing in Houston's favor, adding 24.3 percent win probability. Earlier, Alex Bregman's double off Patrick Sandoval in the third had provided a 13.4 percent boost, and Jose Abreu extended the damage in the sixth with a double off Sandoval good for another 15.2 percent. The Astros carried a 7-4 advantage into the late innings and appeared well positioned to close the game out.

The Angels, however, methodically clawed back. A Mickey Moniak walk off Ryan Pressly in the bottom of the eighth, worth 20.2 percent win probability added, proved pivotal in keeping Los Angeles alive and producing two runs that trimmed the deficit. Then, with the game on the line in the bottom of the ninth, Logan O'Hoppe delivered the decisive blow, launching a home run off Josh Hader that swung win probability by 35.9 percent and completed the comeback. O'Hoppe finished as the game's most impactful performer by a wide margin, posting a WPA of plus-62.6 percent and a RE24 of plus-3.7. Altuve led all Astros hitters with a WPA of plus-34.9 percent and RE24 of plus-3.4, while Moniak contributed plus-34.1 percent WPA on the Angels' side. Among pitchers, Carlos Estevez was the most valuable arm of the evening at plus-13.5 percent WPA, with Bryan Abreu adding plus-8.8 percent in support of the Angels' bullpen effort.