MLB Recap · June 8, 2024

San Francisco Giants at Texas Rangers: Final Score & Recap

SF3
Final
TEX1

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SF102000000360
TEX100000000150

The Story

The San Francisco Giants handed the Texas Rangers a 3-1 defeat at Globe Life Field on June 8, 2024, with the decisive action concentrated almost entirely in the first three innings. The DiamondIQ model opened the game giving the Rangers a 52 percent home win probability, but that edge evaporated quickly. San Francisco scored once in the first inning and added two more in the third, and those three runs proved to be all the offense the night required.

The pivotal moment came in the top of the third when Heliot Ramos connected on a home run off Andrew Heaney, a swing that shifted win probability by 18.1 percent in San Francisco's favor and effectively turned a close game into one the Giants controlled. Texas had an opportunity to respond immediately in the bottom half of the inning, but Nathaniel Lowe grounded into a double play off Spencer Howard, a sequence that swung win probability 10.2 percent against the Rangers and extinguished the threat. Ramos finished as the game's most impactful offensive player with a WPA of plus 12.4 percent and a RE24 of plus 2.3. On the mound, Spencer Howard led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 18.1 percent, while Tyler Rogers added plus 13.3 percent and Ryan Walker contributed plus 12.3 percent. Camilo Doval navigated a tense ninth — allowing a walk to Lowe before getting Ezequiel Duran on a flyout — to close out a game that ended with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Rangers win at zero percent.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SF bats firstFinalTEX win %SF win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 51.6% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Heliot Ramos Home Run
Top 3rd · off Andrew Heaney
+18.1%
Nathaniel Lowe Grounded Into DP
Bot 3rd · off Spencer Howard
-10.2%
Bot 9th · off Camilo Doval
+7.8%
Ezequiel Duran Flyout
Bot 9th · off Camilo Doval
-6.9%
Marcus Semien Pop Out
Bot 8th · off Tyler Rogers
-5.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Heliot Ramos+12.4%+2.3 RE24
Austin Slater+1.8%+0.5 RE24
Patrick Bailey+0.4%+0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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