Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers handed the New York Yankees an 11-3 defeat at Yankee Stadium on June 8, 2024, erasing what the DiamondIQ model had estimated as a 61 percent pre-game home win probability for New York and leaving that figure at zero by the final out. The game was competitive through six innings before the Dodgers broke it open decisively in the eighth, and a pair of home runs on either side provided the sharpest early swings in win probability. Enrique Hernández connected off Nestor Cortes in the top of the fifth for a home run that shifted win probability 12.7 percent in Los Angeles's favor, while Aaron Judge answered with a solo shot off Gavin Stone in the bottom of the third that had moved the needle 11.2 percent toward New York — a lead the Yankees were ultimately unable to protect.

The game turned irreversibly in the top of the eighth, when Teoscar Hernández delivered a home run off Tommy Kahnle worth 10.7 percent in win probability, part of a four-run inning that put the contest out of reach. Teoscar Hernández finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-16.2 percent with a RE24 of plus-4.2, while Enrique Hernández added plus-15.2 percent WPA. On the mound, reliever Alex Vesia was the most consequential pitcher in the contest, posting plus-20.9 percent WPA — a figure driven in large part by Anthony Volpe's flyout against him in the bottom of the sixth, a sequence that cost New York 12.1 percent in win probability and effectively ended whatever hopes the Yankees still carried. Gavin Stone and Michael Tonkin each contributed positively for Los Angeles as well, finishing with plus-4.5 and plus-4.0 percent WPA respectively.