Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| SD | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | 13 | 14 | 0 |
The Story
The San Diego Padres routed the Arizona Diamondbacks 13-1 at Petco Park on June 8, 2024, in a game that was effectively decided before the third inning. The DiamondIQ model entered the night with San Diego as a 58% favorite, and by the time the final out was recorded that estimate had climbed to 100%, a reflection of how thoroughly the Padres dismantled Arizona across nine innings.
The decisive damage came in the bottom of the second, where San Diego's four-run frame against Diamondbacks starter Ryne Nelson produced the game's most significant win-probability swings. A Donovan Solano single got things started, adding 2.7% to San Diego's win probability, before a Jurickson Profar groundout contributed an additional 6.3% as runs continued to cross the plate. The inning peaked with Ha-Seong Kim's home run off Nelson, a swing worth 9.3% in win probability. A Jackson Merrill fielders choice, which added 10.6%, was the single biggest probability-shifting play of the contest. San Diego then repeated the four-run formula in the fourth against reliever Logan Allen, with Jake Cronenworth's home run accounting for a 6.7% swing. Arizona's lone run came in the fifth, but the outcome had long been settled by then.
On the individual leaderboard, Merrill finished as the game's top performer with a combined WPA of plus-12.2% and a RE24 of plus-3.3, while Kim posted plus-9.6% WPA and Profar added plus-5.8%. On the mound, starter Matt Waldron was the pitching standout, contributing plus-8.0% WPA as San Diego held Arizona to one run on five hits while committing no errors. The Diamondbacks, by contrast, were charged with two errors on the afternoon, compounding a difficult night at the plate.