Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap

The San Diego Padres handled the Arizona Diamondbacks decisively on June 7, 2024, at Petco Park, winning 10-3 in a game that was never truly close from the DiamondIQ model's perspective. San Diego entered with a 56% pre-game win probability and closed at 100%, building their advantage steadily through the early and middle innings before putting the game away completely with a five-run eighth. Michael King led the pitching staff with a game-high +21.6% WPA, controlling Arizona's lineup through his time on the mound and forcing critical outs, including a groundout from Corbin Carroll in the second inning that carried a -5.9% win probability swing against Arizona — the single most damaging play of the game for the Diamondbacks.

The most pivotal offensive sequence came in the fourth and sixth innings when the Padres extended their lead through clutch situational hitting. Luis Campusano's single off Brandon Pfaadt in the bottom of the fourth shifted win probability by +8.0% and proved to be the game's second-largest positive play, with Campusano finishing as the game's top offensive performer at +16.9% WPA and +2.1 RE24. Ha-Seong Kim followed with a home run off Pfaadt in the sixth, adding +7.6% to San Diego's win probability and finishing the night with +9.0% WPA and a game-best +2.3 RE24. Pfaadt absorbed two of the night's three biggest home-run blows.

Arizona's only highlight came in the seventh inning, when Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Ketel Marte hit back-to-back home runs off Wandy Peralta, adding +8.6% and +6.3% win probability for the Diamondbacks respectively, accounting for all three Arizona runs. It represented a brief interruption rather than any genuine threat, as the Padres answered with five runs in the eighth to close the scoring at 10-3. Jeremiah Estrada contributed +11.7% WPA out of the bullpen, and Enyel De Los Santos added +5.0% as San Diego's relief corps completed a clean team effort on the mound.