Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 |
| NYY | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 8 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The New York Yankees defeated the Minnesota Twins 8-5 on June 6, 2024, at Yankee Stadium, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate anticipated from the outset with a 71% pre-game home win probability that climbed to 100% by the final out. The game's early innings proved decisive, with New York staking out a lead it would not relinquish through a series of high-leverage swings against Twins starter Pablo López.
The two biggest win-probability moments of the game came against López in the second and third innings. Trent Grisham's home run in the bottom of the second shifted the DiamondIQ model's estimate by 14.6 percentage points in New York's favor, and Gleyber Torres followed in the bottom of the third with a double that added another 14.0 points. Minnesota briefly answered in the top of the third when Christian Vázquez hit a home run off Marcus Stroman worth 10.5 points in the Twins' direction, and Max Kepler's double in the top of the fifth added 10.2 more as Minnesota pushed three runs across to cut into the deficit. Giancarlo Stanton's single in the bottom of the fourth, worth 9.6 percentage points, helped New York reestablish separation at a critical moment.
By the individual numbers, Stanton finished as the game's top performer with a WPA of plus-16.2 and an RE24 of plus-2.6, while Grisham contributed plus-15.5 WPA and plus-1.7 RE24. Torres added plus-9.1 WPA to round out the Yankees' offensive core. Out of the bullpen, Luke Weaver led New York's relievers with plus-7.2 WPA, followed by Tommy Kahnle at plus-4.5 and Victor González at plus-2.7, as the trio combined to preserve the lead through the game's final innings despite Minnesota finishing with ten hits on the night.