Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals: Final Score & Recap

The Colorado Rockies held on to defeat the St. Louis Cardinals 3-2 at Busch Stadium on June 6, 2024, overcoming a pregame disadvantage that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate put St. Louis at a 66 percent chance of winning before first pitch. Colorado built its margin through the third and fifth innings, scoring one and two runs respectively, while the Cardinals managed their only offense in the sixth on a Michael Siani single off Matt Carasiti that shifted win probability 13.2 points in St. Louis's favor. From that point forward, the Rockies bullpen locked down the game, and the Cardinals were unable to sustain any further threat.

The decisive sequence came in the ninth inning, where closer Tyler Kinley induced a strikeout of Nolan Gorman to end the game, a play that swung win probability 27.0 points in Colorado's direction and sealed the Cardinals' fate. Jalen Beeks was instrumental in bridging to that moment, producing 38.2 points of win probability added across his appearances and recording strikeouts of both Dylan Carlson in the eighth and Masyn Winn in the ninth, the latter worth 8.5 points. Brendan Donovan's groundout off Victor Vodnik in the seventh further deflated St. Louis's chances by 8.7 points.

Among position players, Nolan Gorman led all batters with 28.1 points of WPA despite a negative RE24 of minus 0.1, reflecting his prominent role in the Cardinals' late threats that ultimately went unfulfilled. Charlie Blackmon contributed 14.5 points of WPA with a plus 1.1 RE24 for Colorado, and Michael Toglia added 8.2 points with a plus 0.7 RE24. On the mound, Cal Quantrill supported Beeks with 30.0 points of win probability added, while Vodnik chipped in 14.9. The Rockies managed only four hits on the night but made enough of them count, holding St. Louis's eight-hit output scoreless after the sixth.