MLB Recap · June 6, 2024

Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

BOS14
Final
CWS2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
BOS12040421014240
CWS000001100241

The Story

The Boston Red Sox rolled to a 14-2 victory over the Chicago White Sox on June 6, 2024, at Guaranteed Rate Field, collecting 24 hits while committing zero errors in a thoroughly dominant performance. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the White Sox only a 26% chance of winning at home, and that slim margin evaporated quickly as Boston scored in five of nine innings. Chicago managed just four hits and an error, never mounting any sustained threat against a Red Sox lineup that kept the pressure on from the opening frame through the seventh.

The decisive blow came in the fourth inning when Enmanuel Valdez lifted a home run off Jake Woodford, a swing that added 10.5% win probability in the DiamondIQ model's estimate and effectively put the game beyond reach. Woodford was the central figure in Boston's damage, as the game's most consequential plays all came against him. David Hamilton's double in the second inning added 4.4% win probability, while Ceddanne Rafaela contributed two separate singles that added 3.7% and 4.0% respectively across the second and fourth innings. The lone negative play of note was Dominic Smith's lineout in the first, which cost Boston 4.7% win probability, though the Red Sox rendered that irrelevant with relentless production throughout the afternoon.

Enmanuel Valdez finished as the top performer by WPA at plus 9.6%, while Ceddanne Rafaela posted the game's best RE24 among batters at plus 2.6, reflecting how consistently he contributed to run-scoring situations. On the mound, Tanner Houck led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 9.2%, anchoring a staff that held Chicago to two runs on four hits. The DiamondIQ model's estimate reached 0% win probability for the White Sox by game's end, a fitting numerical summary of a contest Boston controlled from the first pitch.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025BOS bats firstFinalCWS win %BOS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 26.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Enmanuel Valdez Home Run
Top 4th · off Jake Woodford
+10.5%
Dominic Smith Lineout
Top 1st · off Jake Woodford
-4.7%
David Hamilton Double
Top 2nd · off Jake Woodford
+4.4%
Ceddanne Rafaela Single
Top 4th · off Jake Woodford
+4.0%
Ceddanne Rafaela Single
Top 2nd · off Jake Woodford
+3.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Enmanuel Valdez+9.6%+0.3 RE24
Ceddanne Rafaela+7.6%+2.6 RE24
Luis Robert Jr.+3.0%-0.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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