Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 4 |
| PIT | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 1 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Pittsburgh Pirates 11-7 at PNC Park on June 6, 2024, in a game that swung dramatically on a historic fifth inning. The DiamondIQ model entered with Pittsburgh holding a 40 percent win probability, and the Pirates actually built on that early when Nick Gonzales launched a home run off Walker Buehler in the bottom of the third, a swing the model registered as the single largest win-probability shift of the game at plus 19.3 percent. Through three innings, the Pirates led 4-3 and appeared to be in control of their home ballpark.
The fifth inning erased all of that in decisive fashion. Los Angeles sent an avalanche of damage against Bailey Falter and Ben Heller, beginning with Teoscar Hernandez connecting for a home run off Falter that added 12.3 percent to the Dodgers' win probability. Heller could not stem the bleeding, surrendering an Enrique Hernandez double worth 12.1 percent, a Mookie Betts home run worth 10.2 percent, and an Austin Barnes single that added another 7.7 percent. Los Angeles scored six runs in the frame and turned what had been a deficit into a commanding advantage that Pittsburgh never recovered from. The Dodgers finished with 14 hits against four Dodger errors, while the Pirates managed 13 hits of their own but stranded enough to fall short.
Among individual performers, Nick Gonzales led all position players with a plus 16.8 percent WPA and 1.3 RE24 despite being on the losing side, reflecting how significantly his third-inning home run reshaped the game's early trajectory. Mookie Betts finished with plus 11.7 percent WPA and a game-high 2.6 RE24, making him the most impactful offensive contributor on the winning side. Austin Barnes added plus 11.3 percent WPA in a supporting role that proved critical during the fifth-inning explosion. On the mound, Michael Grove was the most effective Dodgers reliever, contributing plus 7.3 percent WPA to help close out a Pittsburgh offense that scored three late runs in the eighth but could not close an 11-4 gap.