Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Detroit Tigers defeated the Boston Red Sox 8-4 at Fenway Park on June 2, 2024, completing a comeback that unfolded largely in the game's final frames. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Boston holding a 55% win probability, but Detroit methodically chipped away before delivering a decisive four-run tenth inning that drove that figure to zero for the home side.

The defining sequence came in the top of the tenth, when three consecutive extra-base and base hits off Red Sox reliever Cam Booser dismantled what had been a competitive contest. Mark Canha's single was the single most impactful swing of the game, adding 32.0% in win probability, followed closely by Javier Báez's single at plus-28.0%. Andy Ibáñez then added a double worth 19.6% in win probability, putting the inning entirely out of reach. The rally was set up earlier by Wenceel Pérez, whose seventh-inning double off Justin Slaten had already shifted momentum Detroit's way, adding 20.3% in win probability. Boston's lone bright spot by WPA came in the bottom of the eighth, when Rafael Devers connected for a home run off Alex Faedo, a swing worth plus-23.6% that temporarily kept the Red Sox within reach.

Canha led all position players with a WPA of plus-38.9% and an RE24 of plus-1.1, while Devers finished as the game's second-highest batter by WPA at plus-32.6% despite landing on the losing side, with his RE24 of plus-2.3 reflecting the run-environment value of his home run. Pérez rounded out the top three at plus-23.1% WPA. On the mound, Detroit's bullpen closed the door efficiently, with Kenley Jansen, Tyler Holton, and Jason Foley posting WPA figures of plus-13.5%, plus-13.4%, and plus-10.1% respectively, preserving the Tigers' road victory across the final innings.